Fishing
Lying in wait for us is a marine timebomb. 29 per cent of world
fisheries are in a state of collapse according to Canadian
scientist Boris Worm and colleagues (2007). The majority could be
gone by the 2040s they warn. Plagues of jellyfish in the world's
oceans signal the impact of overfishing and nutrient pollution,
while carbon emissions are turning them acidic, imperilling the
entire marine food chain.
FAO (2008) says "the maximum wild capture fishery potential from
the world's oceans has probably been reached" and the same applies
to freshwater.
If we cannot double fish production as food demand doubles, then
we will have to get the additional 100 million tonnes of meat from
land animals. This will require a billion tonnes more grain and
1000 cubic kms of extra fresh water.
FAO's projected increase in world meat demand by 2050 is 185
million tonnes. Add this to the fish deficit and we would need to
discover three more North Americas to grow sufficient
grain to feed all these animals. This gives some impression of the
scale of the challenge of meeting global protein demand by the
mid-century.
Julian Cribb is an award winning science writer
with over 7000 published articles. He is a Fellow of the Australian
Academy of Technological Sciences and Engineering (ATSE)
and principal of Julian Cribb & Associates, consultants in
science communication.
His forthcoming book The Coming Famine is about the
global food crisis.

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